UK student visa India 2026: Applications down 32% Jan–Feb; Indian grant rate 91% under BCA

Home Office data (published 12 Feb 2026) shows Jan–Feb main study visa applications fell 32% to 24,000. Q4 2025 Indian grant rate was 91%, below the 95% Basic Compliance Assessment threshold.

Edited by Neha Deshpande

Updated April 15, 2026 11:20 AM

    UK student visa India 2026: Applications plunged 32% in Jan–Feb, Indian grant rate 91%

    Home Office monthly statistics published on 12 February 2026 show UK student visa India 2026 applications fell sharply: 24,000 main study visa applications in Jan–Feb 2026 , a 32% drop versus Jan–Feb 2025. January 2026 alone recorded 19,800 applications, the lowest January total since 2022.

    The Numbers — UK student visa India 2026 statistics

    Metric Figure Comparison
    Jan–Feb 2026 main study visa applications 24,000 Down 32% vs Jan–Feb 2025
    January 2026 applications 19,800 Down 31% vs Jan 2025; lowest since 2022
    Q4 2025 main applicant applications 43,000 Down 21% vs Q4 2024
    Q4 2025 visa grant rate (all nationalities) 85% Down 6 percentage points vs Q4 2024
    Indian student visas issued Q4 2025 10,495 Down 27% vs Q4 2024
    Indian student grant rate Q4 2025 91% 4 pp below 95% BCA threshold
    Student dependant applications (year ending Jan 2026) 20,700 Down 86% vs year ending Dec 2023

    Why UK student visa India 2026 numbers fell

    Three policy and cost changes explain most of the decline. The dependants ban introduced in January 2024 removed the right for most taught postgraduates to bring family, hitting Indian postgraduates who previously had high dependant ratios.

    Visa and health charges also rose. The student visa fee increased to £558 from 8 April 2026 , and the Immigration Health Surcharge rose to £1,035 per year in 2024 . For a two-year master’s, pre-arrival visa plus IHS now exceeds £2,600 (around ₹3.25 lakh).

    The new Basic Compliance Assessment (BCA) framework, effective June 2026 , requires universities to maintain high grant rates. India’s 91% Q4 2025 grant rate sits below the 95% BCA threshold, creating pressure on universities when issuing CAS letters.

    What the fall means for applicants and universities

    Lower application volumes reduce competition for some courses, especially outside top-ranked institutions. At the same time, universities under BCA scrutiny are tightening CAS issuance — a refused visa now directly affects a university’s compliance score.

    Universities may withhold CAS if financial documents are weak. Applicants must show tuition plus maintenance: £1,334/month for London or £1,023/month outside London, with consistent, unencumbered bank statements.

    Key dates to remember

    • 12 February 2026 : Home Office published January 2026 monthly visa statistics
    • January 2024 : Dependants ban implemented
    • 8 April 2026 : Student visa fee rose to £558
    • 2024 : IHS rose to £1,035 per year
    • June 2026 : BCA framework effective (RAG compliance signalling)

    FAQs

    Does a university offer guarantee a CAS or visa in 2026? A: No. An offer does not guarantee a CAS, and CAS does not guarantee a visa under tightened compliance rules.
    Which students can bring dependants? A: Only postgraduate research students (MPhil/PhD) and some government-funded scholars (e.g., Chevening, Commonwealth) generally can bring dependants.
    What maintenance funds must I show for a visa? A: £1,334/month if studying in London, or £1,023/month outside London, plus tuition fees.
    How much is the student visa fee in 2026? A: The student visa fee increased to £558 from 8 April 2026 .
    What is the Indian student grant rate and why does it matter? A: Indian grant rate in Q4 2025 was 91% , which is 4 percentage points below the 95% BCA threshold that universities must aim to meet.
    How big was the drop in student dependant applications? A: Student dependant applications for the year ending Jan 2026 were 20,700 , down 86% versus the year ending Dec 2023.

    This post is for subscribers on the Free, Bronze and Gold tiers

    Already have an account? Log in